TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes6c15,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes6c5,110$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.611,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes6c3,878$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.72231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Yes4c3,200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No76c3,102$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfc…4247backed Yes7c3,057$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.974719.1%9 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes2c2,611$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.221375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No80c2,155$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.3664850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c1,906$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274e…e53dbacked Yes17c1,794$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.773435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c1,708$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.561,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Yes31c1,588$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9566…1563backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes33c1,268$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…ea8dbacked Yes8c1,244$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+107.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Yes12c1,237$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.895119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Yes39c992.55$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.323847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes6c967.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No53c937.49$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.842,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed Yes19c932.32$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.144637%17 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6df…e8f1backed Yes7c891.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.38306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Yes5c826.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ed…baa9backed Yes42c790.83$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.771526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+529.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Yes39c769.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0422147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes9c766.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes10c586.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b30…fb47backed Yes49c569.66$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.382540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Yes18c549.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes12c541.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes17c510$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.717052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe168…e559backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2911…98a7backed Yes6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No66c470$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…974dbacked Yes7c400.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.01150%0 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-47.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes6c390.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718f…f25abacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No63c347$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7924443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes18c333.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.684531.1%14 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab3d…89aebacked Yes7c328.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012335.8%44 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2731…1370backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202119%4 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba4…d608backed Yes7c279.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5990%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Yes40c247.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07f0…9b89backed Yes22c231.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fa…c771backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes54c211.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387745.5%35 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…30e2backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes7c157.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Yes7c144.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.588341%34 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No54c142$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.833237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes38c134.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebab…cee0backed Yes10c131.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138435.7%30 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Yes16c128.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.583917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…0079backed Yes13c126.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.392227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x370a…cd77backed Yes9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119140.7%37 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa0…986bbacked Yes75c119.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No61c108$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8236335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes17c104.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75f…febbbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…1911backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes37c79.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes35c76.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f1…87cdbacked Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes36c67.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1217229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Yes35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…bd45backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c5…a564backed Yes25c56.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc07…089fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…2ef9backed Yes35c48.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.410667%71 W · 35 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x488e…c46ebacked Yes64c31.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4592…b07ebacked Yes63c23.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.575248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4139…75bdbacked Yes75c20.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes62c20.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.754431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211764.1%75 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8194…5368backed Yes52c19.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103560%21 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.