Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93b885211e7cf8a0b8b5d633f0c00336a54cdeff5830a1fd47891595e7ba106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 59c | 9,150$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.5 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 41c | 8,249$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 40c | 6,928$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.27 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 59c | 5,274$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 4,599$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.52 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 60c | 4,300$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed No | 10c | 3,237$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 3c | 3,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,661$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.29 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 2,330$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 40c | 1,954$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 1,908$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 1,905$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 1,556$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.27 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 1,442$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 1,262$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.07 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…cf74backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.91 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 49c | 1,025$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.97 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 44c | 906$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.87 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 896.31$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…08f7backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 712.08$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 40c | 621.72$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 59c | 564$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 552.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 41c | 509.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 60c | 476.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 49c | 410.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 47c | 360.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…4a91backed Yes | 59c | 338.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 59c | 338.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 59c | 338.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 28c | 338$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 321.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…383abacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 47c | 310.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 62c | 306.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 63c | 276.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 47c | 253.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 48c | 248.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…9d82backed Yes | 62c | 243.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed No | 42c | 231$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 41c | 201.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 39c | 201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbd…4ef3backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…4979backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 42c | 180.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 177.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…610cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…721fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…7670backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…163ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…e097backed Yes | 63c | 160.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…f2b3backed Yes | 64c | 157.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 55c | 152$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…45f5backed Yes | 56c | 144$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 45c | 136$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…f125backed Yes | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 37c | 127$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3f81backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Yes | 52c | 117.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…47d4backed Yes | 59c | 105.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…e5a1backed Yes | 57c | 104.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 59c | 101.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…3d50backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544b…fb12backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…ca11backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 93.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…7e0cbacked Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +551.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…33d7backed Yes | 55c | 91.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Yes | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…6a41backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…b07ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…b3a8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…909abacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Portugal?this page
- Portugal to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.