TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6035…cc85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5932.2%19 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.07
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.67
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$73.66
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$44.79
France vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$97.04
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$65.61
Portugal to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.49
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$89.84
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+214.8%+$107.38
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$228
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$183
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.