UFC · resolved market

UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4b2181920e8eb38e7d1627e39dc8171c7ca42d18054db28a4bcb6df1c09138

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nurmagomedovof Figueiredo, Nurmagomedov
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $860,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $967,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860,998 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Figueiredo	10c	107,731$10,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,773.05	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Figueiredo	9c	95,955$8,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,635.94	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Figueiredo	9c	40,792$3,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,666.17	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Figueiredo	10c	34,331$3,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,269.84	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Figueiredo	10c	33,342$3,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,345.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Figueiredo	10c	27,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Figueiredo	9c	25,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Figueiredo	5c	21,311$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.55	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Figueiredo	9c	20,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Figueiredo	13c	12,800$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Figueiredo	8c	10,999$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.92	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Figueiredo	10c	10,969$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.41	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Figueiredo	10c	10,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec6…22a5backed Figueiredo	12c	8,677$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f9…af8bbacked Figueiredo	10c	8,234$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Figueiredo	10c	7,755$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd788…f375backed Figueiredo	10c	6,165$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.21	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Figueiredo	10c	5,500$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Figueiredo	10c	5,059$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.88	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Figueiredo	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Figueiredo	7c	4,844$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.17	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Figueiredo	5c	4,104$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.97	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Figueiredo	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Figueiredo	9c	3,610$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.76	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e13abacked Figueiredo	5c	3,600$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Figueiredo	10c	3,442$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.21	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Figueiredo	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Figueiredo	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Figueiredo	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Figueiredo	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Figueiredo	10c	1,977$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.16	79	21.5%17 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Figueiredo	12c	1,896$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa9…e525backed Figueiredo	9c	1,861$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Figueiredo	11c	1,809$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.9	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Figueiredo	9c	1,700$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Figueiredo	12c	1,527$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.76	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b94…5d3ebacked Figueiredo	13c	1,494$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Figueiredo	11c	1,309$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Figueiredo	4c	1,168$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Figueiredo	8c	1,150$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…e428backed Figueiredo	10c	1,139$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.85	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked Figueiredo	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Figueiredo	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…0b97backed Figueiredo	11c	1,075$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Figueiredo	11c	1,009$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Figueiredo	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Figueiredo	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Figueiredo	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	70.6%72 W · 30 L	+10.5wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Figueiredo	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d43…743bbacked Figueiredo	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Figueiredo	11c	973.82$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Figueiredo	11c	919.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Figueiredo	5c	902.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.11	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca46…dc0fbacked Figueiredo	10c	870$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04f8…a547backed Figueiredo	9c	860$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Figueiredo	12c	656.58$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.62	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x138b…7e3dbacked Figueiredo	11c	643.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…5c8dbacked Figueiredo	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Figueiredo	8c	599.95$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Figueiredo	10c	595$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.53	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Figueiredo	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1b…b1fdbacked Figueiredo	10c	534$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Figueiredo	10c	526.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.66	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Figueiredo	10c	518$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Figueiredo	12c	515.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Figueiredo	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d3…0a4dbacked Figueiredo	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.45per pick	22cpaid	+200.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Figueiredo	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1168…8dd5backed Figueiredo	10c	499.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Figueiredo	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…a970backed Figueiredo	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Figueiredo	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Figueiredo	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Figueiredo	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Figueiredo	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Figueiredo	6c	354.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Figueiredo	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Figueiredo	9c	327$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Figueiredo	9c	319.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf71…6765backed Figueiredo	9c	311.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…c74fbacked Figueiredo	11c	309.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…417cbacked Figueiredo	10c	305.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Figueiredo	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Figueiredo	9c	299.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Figueiredo	10c	299.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Figueiredo	12c	293.66$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.93	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d65…54e9backed Figueiredo	12c	289.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Figueiredo	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe344…0ab9backed Figueiredo	7c	281.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0665…6d9dbacked Figueiredo	9c	278.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Figueiredo	11c	277.41$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Figueiredo	8c	262.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.02	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Figueiredo	10c	257.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551f…0cefbacked Figueiredo	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4bb…c96bbacked Figueiredo	11c	243.64$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Figueiredo	8c	243.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Figueiredo	10c	239.74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa374…0a99backed Figueiredo	11c	238.19$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Figueiredo	9c	233.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Figueiredo	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Deiveson Figueiredo win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Umar Nurmagomedov win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event