TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9819…4951backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes14c10,000$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.025717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes14c6,429$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes11c5,161$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.5736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes14c4,571$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d19…ff7bbacked Yes1c3,700$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes13c3,417$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5124616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes18c2,823$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes14c2,379$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c2,201$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes10c1,105$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c6…57dcbacked Yes16c797.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Yes14c788.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.43100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes11c650$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7227637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No74c641.29$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7425038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe836…8e7ebacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes16c624.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.121735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes20c562.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8823729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa7…2723backed Yes13c538.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e7…afddbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes6c339.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.27724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes14c320$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.846319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…7de2backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8f38backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb679…e5d5backed Yes15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes15c254.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.186233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020630.6%63 W · 143 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Yes14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…0646backed Yes14c221.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.971020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Yes5c220.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5211038.2%42 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…358cbacked Yes16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8134…04d3backed Yes13c215.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes14c210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.446743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No78c206.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.752,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf485…d5cebacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c4…dd99backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b97…76adbacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286914.5%10 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a0…86b2backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507722.1%17 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes15c189.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes16c160.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes14c156.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-60.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a4…5b01backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+144.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No80c143.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9518848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10c4…9b46backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e8…d01cbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes14c121.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9382…a673backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a9…e971backed Yes16c112.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes16c103.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54418.2%8 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a11…bcdcbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c75…16cebacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310336.9%38 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes26c96.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf770…6156backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Yes23c92.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6035…cc85backed Yes14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125932.2%19 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes21c84.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Yes20c76.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.498045%36 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes14c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…f69fbacked Yes25c72.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes16c65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca1…a5f0backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.