TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes4c29,204$1,202 inLost-$1,201.7436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c5,659$168 inLost-$168.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes3c3,285$82 inLost-$82.12407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Yes4c2,500$100 inLost-$1009751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes4c2,338$101 inLost-$100.55219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes3c2,121$55 inLost-$55.157810.5%4 W · 777 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes3c1,515$50 inLost-$503189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc9…29a8backed Yes3c1,188$36 inLost-$36.12410%0 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes4c1,054$39 inLost-$391838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes5c830.18$42 inLost-$41.517532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes3c733$22 inLost-$21.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes4c639.82$25 inLost-$2518736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes3c629.88$20 inLost-$2014641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes5c619.15$29 inLost-$29.13910.3%4 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f49…9178backed Yes5c594.81$32 inLost-$32.124626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes4c550$20 inLost-$19.827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes4c544.44$20 inLost-$2012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220e…61fbbacked Yes3c520$13 inLost-$13238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes4c512.82$20 inLost-$2019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes3c500.65$16 inLost-$16.371,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost-$1520036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes4c444.44$16 inLost-$1625115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…c6e1backed Yes5c425.53$20 inLost-$208339.8%33 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes4c416.67$15 inLost-$1514127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.