Fifa International · resolved market
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2412d53aec2bb7819e1c73621bd41dba4e8aa2df8a86373524b1d56f4746b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Yes | 0c | 5,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 70c | 4,100$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 3,561$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.69 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,925$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 68c | 2,849$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.25 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 19c | 1,588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.69 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…6ffebacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 71c | 999.96$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 70c | 719.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 595.49$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 538.67$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 29c | 499.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes | 30c | 486.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 70c | 338.37$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…1debbacked Yes | 34c | 323.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 71c | 250.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 32c | 228.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed No | 70c | 227.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…0fe8backed Yes | 31c | 190.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 70c | 176.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…534ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 71c | 154.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…ce54backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 67c | 145.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 72c | 136.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 108.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 29c | 104.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 72c | 103.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…aa02backed Yes | 29c | 98.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…d80cbacked Yes | 46c | 71.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…b077backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 31c | 60.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 72c | 59.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 27c | 58.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…a971backed Yes | 28c | 58.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 70c | 58.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…4e11backed Yes | 28c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…a9d0backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…356bbacked Yes | 30c | 48.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 35c | 47.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 28c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…e8fbbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 30c | 39.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 67c | 37.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 71c | 31.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…b7dabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…e999backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 30.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assiststhis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 3+ shotsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 2+ goalsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ shotsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 2+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.