TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,984 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No46c2,441$1,127 inWon+$1,314.8134357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes58c2,002$1,161 inLost-$1,161.433537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes57c612.06$347 inLost-$346.631,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No43c496.45$213 inWon+$282.988148.1%39 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No40c337.17$135 inWon+$202.316564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Yes57c318.79$183 inLost-$183.065042%21 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc12…f422backed Yes20c300$59 inLost-$593641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No43c228.85$98 inWon+$130.552,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Yes60c183.33$110 inLost-$1106031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…bcbdbacked Yes60c138.83$83 inLost-$83.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c123.64$56 inWon+$6874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No78c65.02$51 inWon+$14.4913956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes57c62.3$35 inLost-$35.2745254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes57c61.18$35 inLost-$34.871,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…52c2backed Yes58c50$29 inLost-$293351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked No45c50$22 inWon+$27.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Yes59c40.68$24 inLost-$246245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd7…a9d0backed No45c33.33$15 inWon+$18.3311656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No43c30.23$13 inWon+$17.239858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked No48c28.12$14 inWon+$14.5337747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8166…ed6cbacked Yes57c19.3$11 inLost-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.