Fifa International · resolved market
Ante Budimir: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b18550b08382a8fce0f8c735a04337ecda3bf78f48a9a643e4061b07bb1e6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 9,531$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.41 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 79c | 5,946$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.56 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 79c | 4,500$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 934.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 78c | 146.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 79c | 105.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 102.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 20c | 99.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 82.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…a45ebacked Yes | 22c | 50.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 47.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 79c | 46.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 76c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed No | 79c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 3+ shotsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 2+ goalsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ shotsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 2+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.