TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under75c7,329$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.261369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over39c4,100$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.951625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under66c3,184$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.2258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under63c3,000$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.1321938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under64c2,358$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.221656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under47c2,321$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.645042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over68c1,773$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under65c1,653$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.0912956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under9c1,633$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+136.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over31c1,524$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.687946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over73c1,378$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0114955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Under79c1,354$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.821030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under52c1,313$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.611650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over39c1,280$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.724938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c1,240$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over48c1,000$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.371533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over73c960.2$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c915.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5238253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Under41c848$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.311060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under57c800$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3484568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.233959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under58c725$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over55c722.98$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.646633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Over42c720$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under71c701.25$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over79c641.28$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.534158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under69c600$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5323947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over47c509.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over65c489.41$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c464.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.881,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under68c438.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.991877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under67c433$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over35c412.09$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7713931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14011245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under69c399.96$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9922647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over39c390$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.19843.9%43 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55ae…6e2bbacked Under40c387.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over53c373.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Over59c371$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under53c369.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under68c366.7$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.345335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under68c354.61$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.076959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Over47c350.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over73c349.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.492751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Under22c342.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c335.9$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over31c327.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under46c325.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c319.97$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.787456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over54c297.04$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c290.65$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over24c286$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.643935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Under74c279.41$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under66c276$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c272.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8642438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over45c267.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.778252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over34c257.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.515248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.511750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d0…79d1backed Over51c248.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Under67c243.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over34c242$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over66c220.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over26c216.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4215938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+64.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over35c212.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7721745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6455…2642backed Over76c211.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over47c202.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.396841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3df8…3ee8backed Under50c201.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under58c201.29$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.292576%19 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Under23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over59c199.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+79.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over55c199.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Under58c188.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37a…3959backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under41c168.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over61c164.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…3358backed Under63c161.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Over49c161$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.364450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over51c159.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c159.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7633851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over41c159.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over76c150.04$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0315250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under41c134.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.799246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Over53c130.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.361625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over38c124.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over31c121.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.783743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.