FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28ff27c4e952e7ad3ac5a9bfc53a2898741b3da3b4bf989a3fd2886dcb08b5a2

Rebuilt 17 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under	24c	3,886$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.67	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over	76c	2,400$1,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	75cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over	76c	1,895$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.74	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	2c	1,623$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	159	38.4%61 W · 98 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…59bfbacked Over	76c	1,539$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	67c	1,498$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.33	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	6c	1,482$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.06	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	24c	1,006$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.38	243	27.2%66 W · 177 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Under	6c	898.56$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	25c	862.02$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.6	375	44%165 W · 210 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	33c	744.5$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.69	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	27c	599.8$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.95	239	47.7%114 W · 125 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	14c	464.58$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under	24c	400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	18c	384.35$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	76c	368.42$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.42	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over	74c	352.77$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.72	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	76c	327.46$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.92	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	6c	287.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+171.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	25c	281$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.25	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	24c	255$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	434	27.4%119 W · 315 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	26c	249.98$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3876…3537backed Under	32c	231.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	27c	215.34$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Under	36c	206$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.16	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	256	59.8%153 W · 103 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	73c	161.48$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.6	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over	71c	153.88$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.46	58	72.4%42 W · 16 L	+10.9wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+39%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	76c	147$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.28	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	68c	132.35$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.35	198	56.6%112 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	16c	130$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	35c	117.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed37…5748backed Over	76c	103.95$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…e93bbacked Under	19c	93.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under	26c	91.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under	33c	84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under	25c	80.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	28c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Over	73c	79.27$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over	76c	78.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under	24c	57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over	65c	54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6471…42a1backed Under	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under	26c	49.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	66c	47.21$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.07	217	45.6%99 W · 118 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8621…ed54backed Over	75c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e4…8282backed Over	75c	43.48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Over	76c	42.11$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.11	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	76c	34.21$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.21	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6596…b50bbacked Over	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	78cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over	75c	31.4$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over	76c	29.61$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.11	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4839…ccb0backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over	76c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	76c	24.34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.84	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked Over	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd861…931abacked Over	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.76	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed Over	76c	15.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.79	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event