TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under46c24,707$11,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,241.863641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c13,796$7,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,215.5638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c12,012$6,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.1158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.962045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c4,666$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.5834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,650$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.221,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.957631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Over57c2,738$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.761457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under25c2,439$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.615042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under5c2,218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6615438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under43c1,990$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c1,900$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.844461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,553$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.11,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.935745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Under52c1,334$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.31250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over71c1,317$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7715250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over69c1,083$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.064573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd980…4645backed Under45c1,062$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c1,000$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c950.28$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c906.89$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over63c898.13$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.945335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under47c796.54$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4423947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.513538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c738.57$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.976253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under45c682$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.920644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over55c660.49$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.221729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over61c651.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c626.66$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2621037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Over55c609.15$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under46c607.87$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.627946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under56c538.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under44c511.77$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over55c456.36$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.362330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa44e…87aebacked Over56c451.79$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under29c449$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Under26c444.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d2d…3ec7backed Over69c434.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c423.74$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9211649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over71c423.45$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.462948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over55c409.09$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.091776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c397.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c396$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19f…d8b2backed Over56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over58c389$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.585872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0e20…b6b5backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over75c348.86$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.561855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c329.51$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd326…3da7backed Over66c320$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over55c316.04$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.222161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd79…989ebacked Over56c312.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over55c284.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.14938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c251.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5241238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.511750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Under49c243.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under34c242.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.623154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under46c204$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over50c192.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.092552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f0…3286backed Under33c190.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over55c182.87$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.297934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over69c171.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.384663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under27c170$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over78c165.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.316858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under55c157.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.471952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Over57c150.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.929142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over69c149.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.693455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c149.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1819455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under32c142$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.443935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Under19c133.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x241e…2de2backed Under46c132.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under45c127.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.954450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over78c120.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.752245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over69c120.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.925056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6247…9a13backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6039…a1d3backed Under46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+400%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over67c110.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2622356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07fa…74efbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over54c108.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.782740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.145651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.