Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c49fcaac8e32fd0fc87e108f89493cbb961d3c0fdd872fed515d0693f5322a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 76c | 8,041$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.74 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 17c | 5,485$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.63 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 74c | 5,274$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 42c | 4,682$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.67 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 4,263$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.31 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 35c | 2,472$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 75c | 1,619$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…114bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,498$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 25c | 1,301$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 1,242$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.3 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 1,227$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.24 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 20c | 1,223$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 21c | 1,105$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.61 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed No | 26c | 1,077$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 78c | 1,069$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 17c | 1,019$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.82 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 75c | 1,014$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.3 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,013$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 994$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.61 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…746dbacked Yes | 74c | 986.48$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 855.01$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…74d8backed Yes | 76c | 850$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 46c | 745.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.82 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…9095backed No | 35c | 700$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 73c | 688.44$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.27 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 76c | 633$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 28c | 571.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 28c | 563.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 52c | 560.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 79c | 508.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked No | 20c | 475.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 30c | 455.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.36 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 22c | 451.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 47c | 422.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 415.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 37c | 406.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 21c | 404.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.87 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 37c | 390.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 387.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 30c | 375.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 344.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 11c | 335.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 77c | 324$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed No | 23c | 288.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 76c | 285$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Yes | 75c | 267.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…9d52backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 35c | 256.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 72c | 254.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 22c | 252$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 242.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 40c | 232.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 25c | 229.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 217.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 26c | 212.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 34c | 210.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked No | 20c | 206.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 204.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…edd9backed Yes | 74c | 202.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 20c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 19c | 190.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 23c | 186.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…6544backed Yes | 79c | 185.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 44c | 185.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 51c | 182.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 174$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 70c | 160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 25c | 158$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 19c | 150.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 29c | 149.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed No | 20c | 147.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 27c | 145.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 26c | 141.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 75c | 140.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…7142backed Yes | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 37c | 139.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 135.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 53c | 134.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 24c | 132.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 67c | 130.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 24c | 123.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 119.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 74c | 117.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked Yes | 66c | 115.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 49c | 112.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 26c | 108$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 26c | 105.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…8fa1backed Yes | 79c | 101$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…6286backed Yes | 80c | 100.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?this page
- Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.