Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ba4a9b638d59ec070561731d266b46f9c4f88c67f1e2357dabab89a807f390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 21c | 12,468$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,826.42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 52c | 6,188$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.21 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +19.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 4,810$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.76 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 67c | 3,668$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.23 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 3,642$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.14 | 164 | 31.7%52 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 74c | 3,602$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 24c | 3,549$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.45 | 360 | 33.3%120 W · 240 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 12c | 1,414$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.33 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 1,236$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.82 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 27c | 1,211$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.62 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 1,196$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.46 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 31c | 1,100$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 923.83$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 794$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.8 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 763$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.61 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 683.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.69 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 42c | 630.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 251 | 35.9%90 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 21c | 602.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.61 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 76c | 601.94$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 28c | 537.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.97 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 20c | 489.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.22 | 190 | 24.7%47 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 471.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 368 | 22%81 W · 287 L | -27.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 74c | 447.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.03 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…fa97backed Yes | 25c | 416.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.83 | 210 | 31%65 W · 145 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 28c | 394.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 68c | 393.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 375.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 36c | 363.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 362.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 51c | 358.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 25c | 348.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 24c | 346.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 345.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 342.01$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 21c | 325.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 25c | 318.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 309.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 70c | 275.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 78c | 270.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 24c | 261.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 72c | 236.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 222.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…ff5dbacked Yes | 34c | 198.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 194.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 61c | 193.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 190.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 187.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 79c | 174$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 169.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 70c | 164$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 26c | 143.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 140.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 40c | 128.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 21c | 125.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 121.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 115.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 20c | 114.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 529 | 11.7%62 W · 467 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 104.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 45c | 103.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…7c1abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6118…d31dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…693bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…fe7fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 46c | 99.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 93.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Yes | 21c | 84.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 22c | 78.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 161 | 45.3%73 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 74c | 78.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 123 | 22.8%28 W · 95 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…2276backed Yes | 16c | 74.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…d01bbacked Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 71.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…37efbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 17c | 67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 76c | 66.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 73c | 63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked Yes | 30c | 62.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…5576backed Yes | 26c | 57.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 56.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 74c | 55.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 23c | 53.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 25c | 53.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…467bbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?this page
- Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.