Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1bb6973b9330bd01b51cea9d130d70e0ccfc4f732fe01cc00fb4ace3341cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 41c | 10,019$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 7,096$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 2,971$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.75 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 1,014$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.04 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 55c | 936.38$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.98 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 9c | 913.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 637.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.46 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 491$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.26 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 58c | 418.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 372.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 19c | 315.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 294.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 68c | 287.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +370.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 62c | 242.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e2…02b0backed Yes | 42c | 239.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 233.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 223.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 42c | 223.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 45c | 222.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 59c | 168.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 145.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 69c | 139.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 15c | 138.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 42c | 125$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…5255backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +253.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 81.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…0435backed Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 14c | 80.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 26c | 65.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 45c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 40c | 34.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked No | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0465…49e2backed Yes | 42c | 29.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 68c | 20.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.