Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cda8f4a1a5cba55b3694e21c7b4f20b43efaf2abe9c6424a037da6572f83d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 5,290$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.19 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 999.45$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.64 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 978.34$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 11c | 749.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 38c | 599.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 19c | 540$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.22 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 322.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 64c | 313.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 37c | 268.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 249.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 64c | 186.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 174$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2c89backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 36c | 154$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 142.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 131$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 92.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 92.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…df87backed Yes | 22c | 78.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 65c | 46.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…c624backed Yes | 32c | 37.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 30c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 30.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 62c | 30.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 63c | 27.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 63c | 25.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 65c | 22.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.