Us Midterms · resolved market

Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e42b3ad31813197d2496900247bcf78af857c0c6d196e557d9baf2ef2a3ab9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	72c	11,709$8,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,310.56	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+9.3wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	33c	4,096$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…9999backed No	12c	3,266$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.66	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	31c	1,279$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.1	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5d…1614backed Yes	73c	1,210$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.12	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	13c	1,101$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.17	48	50%24 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	29c	1,012$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.39	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	33c	974$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.98	154	31.2%48 W · 106 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed No	37c	913.42$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.74	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	15c	896.42$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	27c	782.6$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.87	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	42c	734.12$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.76	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4e…5629backed No	33c	676.06$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	15c	659$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.68	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb003…97e1backed Yes	71c	620$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32b…626ebacked No	25c	567.9$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.58	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	18c	553.97$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.62	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	16c	498.87$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	32c	441.17$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.17	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No	8c	435.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes	40c	408$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.94	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	17c	397.36$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.04	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	4c	379.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	20c	368.95$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.02	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	42c	364.5$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.37	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	16c	357.84$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes	65c	338.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.53	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No	31c	315.13$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.13	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	31c	313$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	30c	305.72$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.19	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f7…9a17backed No	37c	288.95$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.81	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes	78c	274.76$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.56	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No	16c	259.12$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf057…ab54backed No	28c	255.1$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	45c	252.84$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.09	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	22c	233.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes	80c	230.57$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.69	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x774d…9c18backed Yes	73c	228.28$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	34c	220$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed No	29c	219.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes	64c	184.87$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No	36c	184.87$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.55	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	38c	179$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No	35c	158$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.3	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed No	32c	156.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb9…2b63backed Yes	74c	155.66$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.84	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	27c	155.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.32	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ec…a340backed No	58c	150$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No	30c	149$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.14	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ed66backed No	17c	147.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked No	34c	120$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked No	30c	120$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	78c	113$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.85	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b09…d2cebacked Yes	79c	106.4$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked No	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked No	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb598…14fcbacked No	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f3…1a88backed No	50c	91.42$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	70c	90.96$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	228	48.7%111 W · 117 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked No	12c	84.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed No	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	34c	80$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	17c	73.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…50f7backed No	60c	72$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes	64c	69.92$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	56c	68$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	122	31.1%38 W · 84 L	-9.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes	71c	62.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	28c	61.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	494	11.5%57 W · 437 L	-17.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	24c	61.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed No	30c	56.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	34c	54.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f92…15d2backed No	60c	52.29$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c16…6ae7backed Yes	80c	50.87$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.27	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed No	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed No	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0f…1011backed Yes	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972c…d1a1backed Yes	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+116.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	56c	48.65$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.34	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x16f5…c651backed Yes	76c	47.9$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	27c	42.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	27c	42.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	27c	42.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	27c	42.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	36c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Yes	76c	41.77$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	60c	41.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	35c	41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	449	35.2%158 W · 291 L	-37.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eb5…c246backed No	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed No	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa48c…5506backed Yes	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	27c	39.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85df…fb48backed No	31c	39.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1221…ba85backed Yes	68c	37.59$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dac…423abacked Yes	40c	37.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbe…2520backed Yes	72c	36$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	74cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?this page
Will Brent Hennrich earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won
Will John P. Roco earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won
Will John Saulie-Rohman earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won
Will Lawrence Kellogg earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won
Will Troy Rasband earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event