Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa300a8f86544c72a88f49e75f1d4cb2ab1f81ff9f8799fea6f4aa55f71187523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed SaD Esports | 54c | 4,322$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.4 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked M80 | 46c | 1,631$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 59c | 1,346$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.71 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed M80 | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed SaD Esports | 49c | 1,116$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed M80 | 62c | 885.2$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.75 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed SaD Esports | 32c | 728.28$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed SaD Esports | 29c | 688.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed M80 | 78c | 644.67$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed M80 | 46c | 522.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed M80 | 4c | 509.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed M80 | 45c | 500.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked M80 | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 55c | 496$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed SaD Esports | 58c | 456.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SaD Esports | 32c | 427.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.87 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SaD Esports | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked M80 | 46c | 399.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed SaD Esports | 27c | 373.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed SaD Esports | 55c | 365.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked M80 | 61c | 327.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked M80 | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed SaD Esports | 37c | 321.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked M80 | 71c | 320.9$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed M80 | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed SaD Esports | 59c | 266.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked M80 | 57c | 243.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked SaD Esports | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked M80 | 45c | 187.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SaD Esports | 35c | 168.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…42f9backed M80 | 56c | 159.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed M80 | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed SaD Esports | 54c | 145.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed SaD Esports | 25c | 133.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…4c6fbacked M80 | 79c | 127.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked SaD Esports | 56c | 124.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed M80 | 45c | 120.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked M80 | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked M80 | 43c | 115.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed SaD Esports | 31c | 108.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed M80 | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed SaD Esports | 36c | 91.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed M80 | 15c | 89.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked M80 | 45c | 88.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed M80 | 57c | 88.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SaD Esports | 55c | 87.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…45dbbacked SaD Esports | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed SaD Esports | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked M80 | 52c | 71.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed M80 | 73c | 68.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked SaD Esports | 19c | 67.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked M80 | 66c | 66.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed M80 | 63c | 63.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed SaD Esports | 58c | 51.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed SaD Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed SaD Esports | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed SaD Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked SaD Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked SaD Esports | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed M80 | 47c | 46.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SaD Esports | 40c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked SaD Esports | 31c | 45.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed SaD Esports | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed M80 | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked M80 | 42c | 43.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…72ddbacked M80 | 44c | 41.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked SaD Esports | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…87bbbacked SaD Esports | 32c | 38.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed M80 | 62c | 37.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed M80 | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed SaD Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked SaD Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed M80 | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…8459backed M80 | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked M80 | 47c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…544abacked M80 | 78c | 21.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…02a4backed SaD Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…b37fbacked M80 | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.