TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc187…42f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$174.97
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.3%+$89.84
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+183.3%+$126.42
LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$39.44
New Orleans Privateers vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.33
Colorado Buffaloes vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34%+$11.03
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.25
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Longwood Lancersbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.34
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+27.3%+$290.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.07
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+384.5%+$234.34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$90.5
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.5%+$200.06
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Cbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.2%+$162.21
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.4%+$66.92
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.22
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.79
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.56
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53%+$530.3
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$386.89
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$313.04
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.67
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$20.66
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,463.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.