TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Kennesaw State Owls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sam Houston Bearkatsof Sam Houston Bearkats, Kennesaw State Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c15,590$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,106.789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.9930249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kennesaw State Owls52c10,485$5,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.2574051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kennesaw State Owls53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18048855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State Owls53c5,743$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kennesaw State Owls52c5,590$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kennesaw State Owls53c3,100$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kennesaw State Owls25c2,811$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Kennesaw State Owls53c2,657$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.0112230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sam Houston Bearkats47c2,287$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.131,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sam Houston Bearkats50c2,054$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.013,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State Owls53c1,368$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Kennesaw State Owls57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Sam Houston Bearkats41c841.99$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.372,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c830.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.215949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sam Houston Bearkats53c773.54$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c704.73$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.182759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kennesaw State Owls52c684.48$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.11,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kennesaw State Owls34c629.51$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.331,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c499$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats65c482$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Kennesaw State Owls56c478.98$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7413845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats68c470$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.691,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Sam Houston Bearkats49c425$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kennesaw State Owls52c366$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.737947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Kennesaw State Owls48c310.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c301.16$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.192,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats43c278.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Kennesaw State Owls55c227.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Kennesaw State Owls38c218$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3822157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sam Houston Bearkats47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Kennesaw State Owls25c189$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3814451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…5e13backed Sam Houston Bearkats55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kennesaw State Owls51c181.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.632,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aed…37c0backed Kennesaw State Owls44c159.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sam Houston Bearkats57c159.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.211,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats63c159.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2140252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats67c149$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats71c141.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.553174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats57c133.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Sam Houston Bearkats49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.164,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Sam Houston Bearkats48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kennesaw State Owls29c98.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.411,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc187…42f9backed Sam Houston Bearkats59c96.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Kennesaw State Owls53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd67a…40f8backed Sam Houston Bearkats59c84.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.922454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats78c79.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kennesaw State Owls58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Sam Houston Bearkats52c53.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.715050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Sam Houston Bearkats49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Sam Houston Bearkats49c50.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Kennesaw State Owls53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Sam Houston Bearkats49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Sam Houston Bearkats63c48.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Kennesaw State Owls52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x173d…b9e6backed Sam Houston Bearkats48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Sam Houston Bearkats47c32.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.256952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats55c27.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.232,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kennesaw State Owls52c25.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sam Houston Bearkats53c23.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9620248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.