TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd67a…40f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers (W)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.8%+$24.56
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+90.4%+$50.62
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+102%+$10.2
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.5%+$9.57
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+68.8%+$32.7
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+83.2%+$10.82
Cornell Big Red vs. Penn Quakersbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.8%+$34.92
Little Rock Trojans vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$16.72
Midland: Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi Youbacked You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+131.8%+$26.36
Midland: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Anna Freybacked Frey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.3%+$3.96
Delray Beach Open: Patrick Kypson vs Terence Atmanebacked Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Petra Marcinkobacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.2%+$13.3
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Tenerife 2: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.2%+$17.94
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.