TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cornell Big Red vs. Penn Quakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Quakersof Cornell Big Red, Penn Quakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Penn Quakers43c28,375$12,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,064.4489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red54c6,843$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cornell Big Red57c6,269$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.1315556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red56c5,346$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cornell Big Red57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cornell Big Red57c3,542$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.941,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cornell Big Red57c2,860$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.21,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Cornell Big Red57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cornell Big Red14c1,257$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers80c1,203$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.344,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cornell Big Red57c1,107$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Penn Quakers43c1,047$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5156444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Penn Quakers43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6724847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cornell Big Red21c622.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Penn Quakers50c522.46$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.533327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Cornell Big Red47c423.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cornell Big Red57c408$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5637947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Penn Quakers54c393$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5925246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Cornell Big Red57c321.05$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18325049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cornell Big Red57c320.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers54c279.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cornell Big Red30c237.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Cornell Big Red37c228$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers49c221.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.951,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Penn Quakers56c214.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cornell Big Red5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cornell Big Red23c181.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Cornell Big Red58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Penn Quakers42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Cornell Big Red59c169.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cornell Big Red56c127.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.591,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.274,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67a…40f8backed Cornell Big Red44c113.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Penn Quakers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Penn Quakers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Penn Quakers43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8723…fd3fbacked Cornell Big Red42c97.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cornell Big Red40c94.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cornell Big Red30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Cornell Big Red57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Cornell Big Red57c87.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Penn Quakers64c82.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Penn Quakers67c81.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9513845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Cornell Big Red57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.216551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Cornell Big Red36c59.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00b9…60d0backed Penn Quakers44c56.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Penn Quakers57c54.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cornell Big Red45c40.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3948…f81bbacked Penn Quakers44c38.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.641540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Penn Quakers43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cornell Big Red45c34.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5420248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cornell Big Red46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.031,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Penn Quakers42c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Penn Quakers44c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6929954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Penn Quakers75c24.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc5…2585backed Cornell Big Red57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Cornell Big Red57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa9…c178backed Penn Quakers73c15.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.094281%34 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.