Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ac8579bb71f21491bb07e059fbce550fba591fb790825e3bbbd2a578ba4574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Oregon Ducks, Washington Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington Huskies | 61c | 4,425$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.89 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 2,437$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 2,246$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.59 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Washington Huskies | 62c | 1,514$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.21 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Oregon Ducks | 38c | 1,219$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.24 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 1,047$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Washington Huskies | 61c | 807.7$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington Huskies | 67c | 516$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 501.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.33 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Washington Huskies | 65c | 376.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…8df5backed Washington Huskies | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Washington Huskies | 57c | 221.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Oregon Ducks | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 209.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Oregon Ducks | 45c | 188.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 164.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Washington Huskies | 80c | 154.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…6a7bbacked Oregon Ducks | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Washington Huskies | 57c | 122.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Washington Huskies | 53c | 104.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Oregon Ducks | 51c | 99.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Washington Huskies | 55c | 96.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Washington Huskies | 55c | 92.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 91.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Washington Huskies | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Washington Huskies | 73c | 61.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Washington Huskies | 59c | 60.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Washington Huskies | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 57.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 54.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Washington Huskies | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 52.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Washington Huskies | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Oregon Ducks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 45.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Oregon Ducks | 43c | 42.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Oregon Ducks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…40f8backed Washington Huskies | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Oregon Ducks | 43c | 40.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 39.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Washington Huskies | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 26.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…6f31backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.