Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e3e9d4b869a9e7ae63fc303bd76d5fef0cbfcbf168bb832744230487f97946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charaevaof Charaeva, You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charaeva | 67c | 2,945$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charaeva | 65c | 2,000$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed You | 29c | 1,969$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked You | 28c | 1,705$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed You | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Charaeva | 78c | 1,109$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Charaeva | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed You | 31c | 1,040$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.17 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Charaeva | 58c | 1,030$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.73 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed You | 33c | 734.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked You | 41c | 600$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Charaeva | 62c | 530$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked You | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked You | 40c | 394.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed You | 30c | 359.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Charaeva | 58c | 342.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Charaeva | 74c | 334.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed You | 22c | 320$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed You | 40c | 313.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked You | 43c | 310$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Charaeva | 57c | 296$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked You | 37c | 291.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed You | 37c | 285.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed You | 15c | 283$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked You | 43c | 259.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed You | 33c | 250.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed You | 24c | 201.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Charaeva | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Charaeva | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Charaeva | 63c | 157.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked You | 32c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed You | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Charaeva | 60c | 111.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed You | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed You | 20c | 100.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked You | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Charaeva | 56c | 89.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed Charaeva | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed You | 34c | 81.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Charaeva | 61c | 77.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed You | 43c | 60.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Charaeva | 69c | 56.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Charaeva | 50c | 55.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed You | 37c | 54.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked You | 36c | 51.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…e84fbacked Charaeva | 79c | 50.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed You | 42c | 45.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Charaeva | 62c | 44.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Charaeva | 61c | 43.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Charaeva | 71c | 43.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Charaeva | 64c | 40.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Charaeva | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed You | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed You | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed You | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Charaeva | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Charaeva | 58c | 29.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Charaeva | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…40f8backed You | 40c | 26.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Charaeva | 77c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Charaeva | 69c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Midland: Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi Youthis page
- Charaeva vs. You: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Charaeva vs. You: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.