TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, LSU Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Duke Blue Devils37c5,353$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.561,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed LSU Tigers79c4,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.998138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers75c2,765$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.424,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Duke Blue Devils38c2,665$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74ec…1760backed Duke Blue Devils39c2,073$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2b…894bbacked LSU Tigers60c2,072$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bc…600abacked Duke Blue Devils39c1,844$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…dd2fbacked LSU Tigers60c1,706$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils40c1,511$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.692,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked LSU Tigers63c1,100$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.641566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Duke Blue Devils20c1,081$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.49545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duke Blue Devils35c1,060$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.761,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…c884backed LSU Tigers60c920$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16f…abbebacked Duke Blue Devils40c780$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x141b…73bbbacked LSU Tigers8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed LSU Tigers76c616.72$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4519147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Duke Blue Devils46c598.49$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.227652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed LSU Tigers72c595.77$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.267749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked LSU Tigers8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38205%1 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Duke Blue Devils75c499$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.916858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed LSU Tigers16c475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763020%6 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed LSU Tigers71c467.1$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked LSU Tigers71c464.72$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.223959%23 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils29c444.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3931646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed LSU Tigers9c444$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9690%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed LSU Tigers72c414.94$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.768246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Duke Blue Devils40c412.5$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.54753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duke Blue Devils27c400.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.713,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed LSU Tigers76c368.16$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.369352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked LSU Tigers62c365.5$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed LSU Tigers79c299.97$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.987445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed LSU Tigers61c296.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.772,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked LSU Tigers71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked LSU Tigers9c277$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed LSU Tigers73c259.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.244748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Duke Blue Devils21c258$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.821,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Duke Blue Devils21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.153635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…cc27backed Duke Blue Devils38c216.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Duke Blue Devils49c206.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.954025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked LSU Tigers74c176$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.39154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Duke Blue Devils42c167.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9622250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed LSU Tigers72c151.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.886765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Duke Blue Devils16c140.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.92,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked LSU Tigers72c139.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed LSU Tigers72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Duke Blue Devils20c129.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LSU Tigers69c126.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Duke Blue Devils32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…0ec1backed Duke Blue Devils34c119.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.151118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Duke Blue Devils21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.057350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked LSU Tigers72c115.72$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.494669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked LSU Tigers52c100.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.435644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e1…ab72backed LSU Tigers71c91.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LSU Tigers34c85.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9619522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke Blue Devils21c85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.151,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed LSU Tigers74c77.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Duke Blue Devils40c74.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5521059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Duke Blue Devils28c68.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9230746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Duke Blue Devils47c67.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0332246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed LSU Tigers72c58.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.184860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Duke Blue Devils39c53.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.983961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Duke Blue Devils35c53.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Duke Blue Devils35c51.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.87247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Duke Blue Devils50c49.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Duke Blue Devils38c47.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.442770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked LSU Tigers79c46.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LSU Tigers50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Duke Blue Devils42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.122756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0f…a14dbacked LSU Tigers79c44.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-78.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Duke Blue Devils51c40.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Duke Blue Devils35c40.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.193243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Duke Blue Devils35c40.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.173748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Duke Blue Devils50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed LSU Tigers34c35.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd67a…40f8backed LSU Tigers59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed LSU Tigers60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed LSU Tigers67c32.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.984957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Duke Blue Devils64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Duke Blue Devils42c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8219454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked LSU Tigers69c26.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44db…e66fbacked Duke Blue Devils63c26.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed LSU Tigers76c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0662140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed LSU Tigers70c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed LSU Tigers69c16.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.