Tennis · resolved market
Tenerife 2: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lloyd Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb74f0316cb9016c433091c682f15b66a8f19123d24eac5c88acdd224f11b36df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harrisof Canas, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Harris | 76c | 11,403$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Canas | 27c | 6,932$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.61 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canas | 25c | 6,375$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Harris | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.76 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Canas | 21c | 1,115$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Canas | 18c | 1,089$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Canas | 33c | 969.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…4f2bbacked Harris | 66c | 579.11$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Canas | 30c | 507.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Canas | 27c | 504.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Harris | 70c | 500$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Canas | 23c | 436.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Harris | 78c | 311.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Canas | 25c | 286.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Canas | 35c | 282.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Harris | 77c | 250.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Canas | 9c | 233.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canas | 7c | 195.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Harris | 66c | 179.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Canas | 35c | 169.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Canas | 35c | 169.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed Canas | 33c | 151.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Harris | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Harris | 67c | 139.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed Canas | 45c | 110.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Harris | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Canas | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Canas | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Harris | 66c | 62.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Canas | 17c | 61.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Harris | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…40f8backed Harris | 67c | 54.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Harris | 80c | 52.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Harris | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Harris | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canas | 30c | 48.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Harris | 79c | 48.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Harris | 66c | 45.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Harris | 67c | 44.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Harris | 64c | 39.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Canas | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Canas | 34c | 34.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Canas | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harris | 72c | 26.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Harris | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Harris | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Harris | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Harris | 75c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 117 | 79.5%93 W · 24 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tenerife 2: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Lloyd Harristhis page
- Canas vs. Harris: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.