Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Petra Marcinko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a01b81314f4103b0c3f48e2f99cf90583a846336ec89ea89145be31c42d8350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristianof Cristian, Marcinko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Marcinko | 46c | 1,646$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.8 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Marcinko | 21c | 1,625$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cristian | 77c | 1,395$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marcinko | 18c | 1,184$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Cristian | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cristian | 57c | 1,002$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.75 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marcinko | 22c | 995.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Marcinko | 11c | 990.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Marcinko | 16c | 841$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Cristian | 58c | 735.49$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Marcinko | 42c | 713.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Cristian | 80c | 615.82$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Marcinko | 12c | 547.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Cristian | 59c | 543.92$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Marcinko | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marcinko | 26c | 451.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Cristian | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Marcinko | 42c | 414$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Cristian | 57c | 400.34$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marcinko | 22c | 378.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cristian | 79c | 331.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Cristian | 69c | 287.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Cristian | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…aaeabacked Marcinko | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marcinko | 42c | 207.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cristian | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marcinko | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Cristian | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Cristian | 55c | 180.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Cristian | 57c | 176.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cristian | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Marcinko | 43c | 164.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cristian | 61c | 163.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Marcinko | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcinko | 22c | 135.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cristian | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Cristian | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Marcinko | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Marcinko | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Marcinko | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Cristian | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marcinko | 44c | 98.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marcinko | 34c | 92.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cristian | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cristian | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Marcinko | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Marcinko | 46c | 65.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cristian | 79c | 62.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cristian | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Marcinko | 45c | 55.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Marcinko | 32c | 52.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Marcinko | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Marcinko | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Cristian | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marcinko | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Marcinko | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marcinko | 38c | 32.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…40f8backed Marcinko | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Marcinko | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Cristian | 57c | 22.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.