Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9373e617fc43c5134f4ce9dfecbdfd168258239e5a3e43b371e14d965968d8c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof NAVI Junior, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed NAVI Junior | 10c | 5,673$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NAVI Junior | 1c | 3,871$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed NAVI Junior | 18c | 2,197$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed NAVI Junior | 12c | 1,719$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed VP.Prodigy | 79c | 1,585$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked NAVI Junior | 22c | 1,529$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…7e84backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 1,301$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed VP.Prodigy | 73c | 826.31$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed VP.Prodigy | 75c | 781.28$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked VP.Prodigy | 80c | 727.58$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 642.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed NAVI Junior | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NAVI Junior | 9c | 592.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NAVI Junior | 20c | 487.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed NAVI Junior | 20c | 422.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked NAVI Junior | 18c | 374.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…42f9backed VP.Prodigy | 76c | 352.7$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked NAVI Junior | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 318.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked NAVI Junior | 13c | 308.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 293.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked NAVI Junior | 8c | 229.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 219.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…6bc6backed VP.Prodigy | 71c | 209.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed NAVI Junior | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 190.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed NAVI Junior | 29c | 170.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy | 78c | 141.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NAVI Junior | 18c | 109.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed VP.Prodigy | 73c | 108.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed NAVI Junior | 11c | 103.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed NAVI Junior | 31c | 97.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed VP.Prodigy | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…dc09backed NAVI Junior | 29c | 74.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked VP.Prodigy | 73c | 68.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked VP.Prodigy | 74c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed VP.Prodigy | 75c | 65.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed NAVI Junior | 18c | 63.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed NAVI Junior | 25c | 62.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed NAVI Junior | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…f159backed NAVI Junior | 26c | 39.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed VP.Prodigy | 74c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed VP.Prodigy | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked VP.Prodigy | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked VP.Prodigy | 72c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked VP.Prodigy | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked VP.Prodigy | 73c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked VP.Prodigy | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Game Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.