Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9420be2f1827f30a50c119ed4bc17220e9663bdbadd4a9f96df9ec9a42ae2e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed NAVI Junior | 32c | 1,413$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.84 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed NAVI Junior | 41c | 1,208$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed NAVI Junior | 27c | 805.05$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.63 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 663.56$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed NAVI Junior | 42c | 649$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked VP.Prodigy | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed VP.Prodigy | 78c | 403.32$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.65 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed VP.Prodigy | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked VP.Prodigy | 59c | 298.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 228.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked VP.Prodigy | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NAVI Junior | 29c | 176.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 176.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked NAVI Junior | 57c | 172.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NAVI Junior | 33c | 75.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked VP.Prodigy | 48c | 69.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 52.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…db09backed NAVI Junior | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed NAVI Junior | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 26.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NAVI Junior | 47c | 22.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…e086backed VP.Prodigy | 76c | 16.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group AVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Game Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.