Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3bbda05c2c7162f98dfd6f2dd9a1974ffa8f1e9f43c5111e71aeeb830120dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof LSU Tigers, Tennessee Volunteers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 80c | 1,910$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 1,718$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed LSU Tigers | 20c | 839$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 4c | 774.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed LSU Tigers | 30c | 651.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked LSU Tigers | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 539.46$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 18c | 505.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 465.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked LSU Tigers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 437.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 70c | 428.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked LSU Tigers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked LSU Tigers | 22c | 365.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed LSU Tigers | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 289$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tennessee Volunteers | 73c | 265.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 236.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 209.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…592bbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LSU Tigers | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…42f9backed LSU Tigers | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers | 7c | 176.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked LSU Tigers | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed LSU Tigers | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed LSU Tigers | 22c | 69.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LSU Tigers | 21c | 64.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe621…8182backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 59.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 44.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 80c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Tennessee Volunteers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersthis page
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 144.5Under won
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-14.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.