Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf260357827fb81c4d4dadf6cbaf62583f0570fe2d394177cacc36edabbedfaa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof Tennessee Volunteers, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 35,159$18,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,186.96 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers | 48c | 27,121$13,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,076.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed LSU Tigers | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed LSU Tigers | 51c | 3,909$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.4 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed LSU Tigers | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.9 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 995.81$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed LSU Tigers | 51c | 795$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.55 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 611.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 268.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 169.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Tennessee Volunteers | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 38.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-14.5)this page
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 144.5Under won
- LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.