Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x374fe3f6961c2ae865a46664269c38e0f28cc0e9c44f8caeef7dbe0a0818213e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama State Hornetsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Alabama State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 39c | 1,429$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.26 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 25c | 840.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 26c | 678.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 3c | 597.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alabama State Hornets | 77c | 592.32$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 554.42$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Alabama State Hornets | 73c | 552.44$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 544$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.78 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 35c | 501$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Alabama State Hornets | 53c | 498$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 46c | 441$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 67c | 421.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alabama State Hornets | 54c | 313.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 35c | 303.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 24c | 209.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 207.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alabama State Hornets | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 37c | 145$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama State Hornets | 78c | 138.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 18c | 130.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 18c | 129.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 42c | 119.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Alabama State Hornets | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 20c | 74.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 23c | 70.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alabama State Hornets | 70c | 64.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Alabama State Hornets | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Alabama State Hornets | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 48.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 25c | 48.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 44.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Alabama State Hornets | 62c | 43.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama State Hornets | 64c | 39.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…42f9backed Alabama State Hornets | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Alabama State Hornets | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornetsthis page
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-2.5)Alabama State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.