CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc7f3ecdbd407ff970e278b5de021bf6b2524c4d0a2044ecb2ec37fdeaffc82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof MINLATE, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked FORZE Reload | 52c | 2,428$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.93 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed MINLATE | 3c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MINLATE | 41c | 1,408$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed MINLATE | 39c | 1,236$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 58c | 1,176$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked MINLATE | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…f2e0backed MINLATE | 66c | 447.11$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MINLATE | 42c | 390.04$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 385$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 353.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 294.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked MINLATE | 52c | 270.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…42f9backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 215.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…4917backed FORZE Reload | 72c | 206.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked FORZE Reload | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed MINLATE | 59c | 168.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 133.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 49c | 121.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FORZE Reload | 39c | 103.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MINLATE | 37c | 94.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 85.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 77.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed MINLATE | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 73.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 72.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MINLATE | 28c | 70.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MINLATE | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…665abacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MINLATE | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed MINLATE | 51c | 44.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…c8f4backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 39.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FORZE Reload | 49c | 34.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked MINLATE | 33c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked MINLATE | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked FORZE Reload | 51c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.