Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe414b2c2e27e060133e18e73248d3dff4b64c4be45d668237477ffacf4f7befd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Gentle Mates GC | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Karmine Corp GC | 49c | 819.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Gentle Mates GC | 50c | 327.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 47c | 86.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed Gentle Mates GC | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…61dfbacked Gentle Mates GC | 52c | 38.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Gentle Mates GC | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.