CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec636f6e0dc649a6247f65e1a1eb4efd2622119fb51398df9e04b9658d51a78e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Alliance, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed SPARTA | 47c | 2,421$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.13 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Alliance | 52c | 1,968$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked SPARTA | 48c | 1,522$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.18 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed SPARTA | 46c | 986.57$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.74 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Alliance | 53c | 823.05$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed SPARTA | 45c | 812.22$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.15 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Alliance | 49c | 643.02$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.95 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed SPARTA | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked SPARTA | 36c | 568.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.08 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Alliance | 58c | 512.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed SPARTA | 43c | 461.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.1 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 43c | 412.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 59c | 407.02$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked SPARTA | 46c | 397.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.31 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed SPARTA | 48c | 361.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Alliance | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 53c | 285.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Alliance | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed SPARTA | 42c | 258.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed SPARTA | 41c | 258.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed SPARTA | 68c | 245.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 43c | 236.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Alliance | 44c | 212.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alliance | 53c | 212.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed SPARTA | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked Alliance | 59c | 199.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Alliance | 66c | 151.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Alliance | 70c | 118.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Alliance | 70c | 108.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Alliance | 53c | 107.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Alliance | 70c | 103.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed SPARTA | 46c | 101.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Alliance | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SPARTA | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alliance | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed SPARTA | 35c | 89.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked Alliance | 28c | 85.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 58c | 82.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SPARTA | 41c | 81.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Alliance | 43c | 80.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed SPARTA | 40c | 78.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked Alliance | 66c | 78.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Alliance | 62c | 64.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Alliance | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed SPARTA | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed SPARTA | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…1e77backed Alliance | 63c | 41.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Alliance | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Alliance | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed SPARTA | 36c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Alliance | 65c | 30.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed SPARTA | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alliance | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…1a4bbacked SPARTA | 63c | 26.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked SPARTA | 54c | 21.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1d31backed SPARTA | 55c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Alliance | 68c | 20.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…2f20backed Alliance | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.