TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Bearcatsof UCF Knights, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats75c7,644$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights15c6,441$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked UCF Knights40c3,987$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.9337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats60c2,432$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.962,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights25c2,287$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.113,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UCF Knights40c2,042$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.711,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x803a…9cddbacked UCF Knights38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1a…f570backed Cincinnati Bearcats62c1,700$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6463100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed UCF Knights37c1,346$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Bearcats65c1,234$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.3624351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cincinnati Bearcats74c993.31$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed Cincinnati Bearcats60c976.67$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cincinnati Bearcats60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.415851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed UCF Knights29c961$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5922050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed UCF Knights8c840$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.325325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats60c769.65$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights7c630.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.222,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights18c630.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.441,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights37c626$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.542,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UCF Knights39c610.19$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.112,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UCF Knights19c601$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.311,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c515.69$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cincinnati Bearcats59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed UCF Knights32c444.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UCF Knights20c411.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked UCF Knights36c400$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Bearcats60c388.33$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Bearcats58c368.35$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Cincinnati Bearcats63c366.47$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UCF Knights40c365.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.394,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Cincinnati Bearcats59c329.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.278855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed UCF Knights40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked UCF Knights29c324.14$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c303.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0424340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed UCF Knights33c303.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…bfbdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c278.67$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.672744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6052…c0c3backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c257.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.382556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Cincinnati Bearcats78c256$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c247.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.466752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked UCF Knights41c242.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.562556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UCF Knights27c239.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked UCF Knights38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995a…9368backed UCF Knights38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed UCF Knights36c199$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.648050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked UCF Knights26c197.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1119138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9313561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati Bearcats65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked UCF Knights12c147.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UCF Knights40c123.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked UCF Knights39c119.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.296036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cincinnati Bearcats77c116.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats77c113.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.644,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed UCF Knights36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked UCF Knights36c104$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.443855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa325…bc64backed Cincinnati Bearcats62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c84…57f8backed Cincinnati Bearcats62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed UCF Knights37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab85…1c44backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…dd44backed Cincinnati Bearcats62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…92a9backed UCF Knights39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x888f…d6aebacked Cincinnati Bearcats62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked UCF Knights39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3925254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c87.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.034355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b7…aa9fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c84.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Cincinnati Bearcats59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecc…7d67backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27f…989fbacked UCF Knights39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed UCF Knights40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…5325backed UCF Knights28c71.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed UCF Knights39c70.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5325946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed UCF Knights39c67.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.538345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf4…0854backed UCF Knights39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…9706backed UCF Knights30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b14…d23dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UCF Knights40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked UCF Knights42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed UCF Knights42c57.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats56c56.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7338645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed UCF Knights37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ae…554dbacked UCF Knights39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.857352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UCF Knights36c50.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f6…ba6bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked UCF Knights39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.418129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati Bearcats62c45.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.152,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…4f01backed Cincinnati Bearcats61c45.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed UCF Knights36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed UCF Knights37c44.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Cincinnati Bearcats69c40.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.417241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…733bbacked UCF Knights39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Cincinnati Bearcats64c36.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0321651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Cincinnati Bearcats64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bc…ef05backed Cincinnati Bearcats64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UCF Knights33c34.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe3b7…7611backed UCF Knights42c33.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.