Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65fefc5adc6f7e1b7bd78c737c15c1da5eab8e788d36e9f1092c55743c2b7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 54c | 55,000$29,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,699.96 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 23,000$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 46c | 17,435$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,434.98 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 46c | 16,928$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,141.12 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 54c | 12,500$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 5,783$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 4,810$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.74 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 2,283$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3584…e59dbacked Over | 45c | 1,539$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 345$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 46c | 321.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 45c | 271.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 55c | 181.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 46c | 155.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 55c | 75.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Under | 56c | 67.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 45c | 62.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 45c | 23.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.