Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636dd8bff8d789822f03aadc64ad4e592b5f13333e724841aefd2b4c58ffd098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 48c | 27,062$12,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,989.55 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 52c | 11,143$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.57 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,882$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,640$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.55 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.9 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 209.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 81.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 73.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 51c | 51.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 41.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Under | 57c | 40.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Under | 68c | 36.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 57c | 32.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 43c | 27.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.