CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66278fcea808b37d9cc219fde1ba755f7f3bd8b3d68e77b3aa2ab7fc6a9673f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof ECSTATIC, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Favbet | 39c | 9,755$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.54 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 9,084$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.24 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Favbet | 39c | 6,038$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.94 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Favbet | 38c | 4,085$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.79 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 3,677$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.97 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 3,266$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 918.03$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 836.56$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 816$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 815.04$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 781.94$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.98 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 680.17$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ECSTATIC | 10c | 447$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 432.68$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Favbet | 40c | 411.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Favbet | 49c | 245$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 8c | 232.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Favbet | 41c | 201.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 171.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Favbet | 41c | 151.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Favbet | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 146.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 125.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Favbet | 50c | 111.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 105.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 100.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed ECSTATIC | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Favbet | 39c | 98.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 96.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Favbet | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Favbet | 46c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 67.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Favbet | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…51f6backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 53.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 52.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Favbet | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 42.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Favbet | 49c | 40.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed ECSTATIC | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Favbet | 39c | 39.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 62c | 36.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Favbet | 40c | 33.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06e…26a7backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…8d4dbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 24.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Favbet | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…0814backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.