CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f20adf87cfb3c978e6a198b211e6b63263524f9af06a3db4862914bd52767c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof KOLESIE, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed KOLESIE | 1c | 13,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed los kogutos | 32c | 3,705$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.79 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed los kogutos | 30c | 3,100$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.98 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed KOLESIE | 70c | 2,160$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.69 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 2,072$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed KOLESIE | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…7462backed KOLESIE | 69c | 1,162$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed KOLESIE | 68c | 1,099$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed KOLESIE | 68c | 975.62$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.99 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed KOLESIE | 18c | 932.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked los kogutos | 47c | 841.68$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 32c | 737.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed KOLESIE | 68c | 733.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed los kogutos | 30c | 726.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.23 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 21c | 621.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked KOLESIE | 69c | 491.3$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked KOLESIE | 25c | 467.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed los kogutos | 32c | 330$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed KOLESIE | 69c | 325.17$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed KOLESIE | 45c | 315.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KOLESIE | 49c | 259$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked los kogutos | 38c | 159.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KOLESIE | 26c | 152.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed los kogutos | 43c | 141.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked los kogutos | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked los kogutos | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked los kogutos | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…0e32backed KOLESIE | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed KOLESIE | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked KOLESIE | 68c | 93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked los kogutos | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…067fbacked KOLESIE | 17c | 89.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked los kogutos | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed KOLESIE | 67c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed los kogutos | 51c | 73.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 29c | 72.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed KOLESIE | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE | 48c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked los kogutos | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed los kogutos | 79c | 57.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed KOLESIE | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed KOLESIE | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…744ebacked KOLESIE | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked los kogutos | 43c | 49.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed los kogutos | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed KOLESIE | 72c | 48.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…a946backed los kogutos | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed los kogutos | 30c | 45.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed KOLESIE | 33c | 39.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…c62cbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed los kogutos | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed KOLESIE | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed los kogutos | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked KOLESIE | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed los kogutos | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos - Map 1 Winnerlos kogutos won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos - Map 2 Winnerlos kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.