Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0c9ec0c35ebbad2ade0c448135cf0738a80fe5797270c124e82c2a2d8453e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- YFP Gamingof YFP Gaming, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Alliance Guardians | 31c | 3,106$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.85 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed YFP Gaming | 69c | 1,954$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed YFP Gaming | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alliance Guardians | 3c | 1,021$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance Guardians | 32c | 995.72$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed YFP Gaming | 68c | 645.87$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alliance Guardians | 31c | 306.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Alliance Guardians | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…9a5ebacked YFP Gaming | 68c | 132.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked YFP Gaming | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…fc27backed YFP Gaming | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…d605backed Alliance Guardians | 26c | 100.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked YFP Gaming | 73c | 80.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed YFP Gaming | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Alliance Guardians | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed YFP Gaming | 77c | 32.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked YFP Gaming | 69c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked YFP Gaming | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed YFP Gaming | 79c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked YFP Gaming | 70c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed YFP Gaming | 77c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 WinnerYFP Gaming won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerYFP Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.