CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c5f3a8cf4ac97a7dbc8bd695a6e9e89fadecd9def054a3ba9961ad9ad951c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, Fingers Crossed
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Fingers Crossed | 31c | 1,809$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.64 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 1,766$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.19 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 1,250$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 1,152$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fingers Crossed | 2c | 931.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 523$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 519.87$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Fingers Crossed | 30c | 511.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…1b08backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 414.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 123.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ECSTATIC | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 75c | 91.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 80.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed ECSTATIC | 66c | 79.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 65.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Fingers Crossed | 40c | 60.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fingers Crossed | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Fingers Crossed | 34c | 52.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Fingers Crossed | 33c | 52.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fingers Crossed | 30c | 44.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Fingers Crossed | 33c | 37.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…2243backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 28.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked ECSTATIC | 66c | 26.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…f562backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…6431backed ECSTATIC | 65c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Fingers Crossed - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.