CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee27988e3e66a5ac883bb9be03ce6c070a7f7ad9b82e2b99f822a18fa2e323d0

Rebuilt 53 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: BC.Game Esportsof BC.Game Esports, Alliance
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,209 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked BC.Game Esports	66c	60,899$40,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,748.8	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Alliance	34c	5,918$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012	210	51%107 W · 103 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance	33c	3,251$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed BC.Game Esports	58c	2,927$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.98	187	52.4%98 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Alliance	42c	2,636$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.38	576	47.6%274 W · 302 L	-25.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Alliance	41c	1,900$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.99	166	53%88 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance	26c	1,736$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.35	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Alliance	27c	1,383$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed BC.Game Esports	59c	1,353$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.65	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alliance	20c	1,245$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alliance	2c	1,227$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Alliance	41c	1,200$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.99	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed BC.Game Esports	59c	1,198$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.33	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Alliance	13c	1,018$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.22	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Alliance	12c	658.93$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed BC.Game Esports	57c	632.72$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.07	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked BC.Game Esports	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked BC.Game Esports	58c	482.76$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BC.Game Esports	74c	469.45$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.18	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance	44c	458.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	526	36.5%192 W · 334 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BC.Game Esports	79c	451.14$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.33	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Alliance	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed BC.Game Esports	59c	377.63$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.33	154	42.2%65 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed BC.Game Esports	62c	321.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.12	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Alliance	42c	320$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	204	45.6%93 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…4e78backed BC.Game Esports	57c	302.62$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked BC.Game Esports	68c	295.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.95	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed BC.Game Esports	58c	278.36$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.91	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Alliance	40c	249.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	267	43.1%115 W · 152 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed BC.Game Esports	59c	244.07$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.07	178	47.2%84 W · 94 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8e…f256backed BC.Game Esports	59c	213.7$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.41	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Alliance	45c	195.38$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.42	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Alliance	39c	189$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.71	970	40.7%395 W · 575 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked BC.Game Esports	65c	181.53$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.14	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cea…fb39backed BC.Game Esports	58c	174$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.08	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alliance	41c	173.08$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.08	540	32.4%175 W · 365 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed BC.Game Esports	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed BC.Game Esports	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	119	58%69 W · 50 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked BC.Game Esports	63c	168.14$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.21	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance	44c	143.07$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Alliance	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Alliance	12c	114.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BC.Game Esports	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	543	48.6%264 W · 279 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Alliance	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked BC.Game Esports	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0862…24d2backed Alliance	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Alliance	34c	98.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Alliance	41c	97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	317	31.9%101 W · 216 L	-13.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked BC.Game Esports	60c	96.62$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BC.Game Esports	59c	94.1$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.58	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Alliance	34c	89.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	335	39.4%132 W · 203 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BC.Game Esports	71c	83.11$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	698	63%440 W · 258 L	+65.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Alliance	39c	59.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	246	33.3%82 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed BC.Game Esports	58c	59.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Alliance	35c	59.44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed BC.Game Esports	63c	55.56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.56	129	55%71 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Alliance	38c	54.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	1,076	37.6%405 W · 671 L	+34.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed BC.Game Esports	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	489	43.6%213 W · 276 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed BC.Game Esports	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	248	50.4%125 W · 123 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed BC.Game Esports	57c	49.12$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	736	58.2%428 W · 308 L	-22.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Alliance	42c	45.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	317	35.6%113 W · 204 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Alliance	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked BC.Game Esports	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Alliance	46c	36.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6444…8a1cbacked BC.Game Esports	59c	36.61$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Alliance	42c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed BC.Game Esports	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	54	83.3%45 W · 9 L	+8.6wins	+0.16per pick	67cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed BC.Game Esports	77c	28.65$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	228	43.9%100 W · 128 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Alliance	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,319	44.2%583 W · 736 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bb…15eebacked BC.Game Esports	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed BC.Game Esports	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked BC.Game Esports	63c	22.22$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.22	200	52.5%105 W · 95 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked BC.Game Esports	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	268	62.3%167 W · 101 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked BC.Game Esports	72c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed BC.Game Esports	62c	17.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerBC.Game Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event