Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1ee74a493a0ec84a4809b894c17efb14a374511b9137df93e333064073c22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof Evil Geniuses Academy, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.05 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 34c | 745.34$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.17 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed M80 | 66c | 682.25$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 364.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 293.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed M80 | 62c | 232.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed M80 | 62c | 221.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 213.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed M80 | 62c | 206.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed M80 | 65c | 202.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked M80 | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked M80 | 62c | 195.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked M80 | 62c | 194$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed M80 | 65c | 184.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed M80 | 58c | 156.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 147$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed M80 | 65c | 114.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 109$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked M80 | 74c | 104$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked M80 | 61c | 102.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed M80 | 47c | 81.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked M80 | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…2d9bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 61c | 70.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed M80 | 25c | 62.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed M80 | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…38cbbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked M80 | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…c16ebacked M80 | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked M80 | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed M80 | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked M80 | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked M80 | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed M80 | 41c | 26.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked M80 | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…a903backed M80 | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked M80 | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…3367backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 24.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed M80 | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed M80 | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 54c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed M80 | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 52c | 19.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed M80 | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed M80 | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed M80 | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked M80 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)Evil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.