Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QoR vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d94c5d5c90b58a7ea2b5592306960d9ee3d13084a7ffbf347e160cf7bd4912f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QoRof QoR, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 3,531$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.46 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed QoR | 38c | 3,018$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.88 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed QoR | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.98 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 2,386$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed QoR | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 1,186$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.27 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed QoR | 37c | 539.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed QoR | 39c | 414.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 386.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked QoR | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 192.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 189.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 130.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked QoR | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed QoR | 30c | 115.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked QoR | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QoR | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 75.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QoR | 51c | 70.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…6c5ebacked QoR | 39c | 56.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed QoR | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…08c5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 46.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed QoR | 39c | 40.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed QoR | 52c | 40.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed QoR | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed QoR | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed QoR | 39c | 26.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…c0f0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 22.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…5060backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 17.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 16.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.