CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86bf9f8fedfb0ef2ff7faa21c2893c684ebbdb9ac9f712c05f42187a3e7f66c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof Leo Team, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Leo Team | 40c | 2,217$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Leo Team | 18c | 910.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 63c | 825.15$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 33c | 327.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lazer Cats | 60c | 253.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Lazer Cats | 53c | 208.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Lazer Cats | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 177.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lazer Cats | 66c | 149.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lazer Cats | 64c | 114.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 103.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…5ff1backed Leo Team | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Leo Team | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Leo Team | 55c | 81.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…993dbacked Lazer Cats | 77c | 70.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Lazer Cats | 60c | 66.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Leo Team | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…7965backed Lazer Cats | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lazer Cats | 61c | 55.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Lazer Cats | 53c | 53.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Lazer Cats | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Lazer Cats | 57c | 43.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Leo Team | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked Leo Team | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Lazer Cats | 31c | 35.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Leo Team | 31c | 33.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…3367backed Lazer Cats | 59c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Leo Team | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae9…a677backed Lazer Cats | 60c | 24.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Lazer Cats | 73c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…9df3backed Lazer Cats | 77c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Lazer Cats | 65c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 WinnerLazer Cats won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.