TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0625…7965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+136.6%+$16.16
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.4%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs OUTPLAYED (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group Bbacked OUTPLAYED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25.54
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+82.8%+$66.23
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.85
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.71
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.92
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$41.6
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+777.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,654.4%+$330.88
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.5%+$24.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.