Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedc4fb8a78f6fbd36081d6cf9dc33cbbc91aa6d00cd4ecb6a4eba10bf9abcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $806,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $800,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 60c | 72,958$44,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,092.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 29c | 41,461$12,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,409.47 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…5de6backed No | 50c | 35,561$17,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,737.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked Yes | 25c | 35,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 30,750$13,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,225.08 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 22c | 18,955$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,875.9 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 64c | 10,550$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.86 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…e731backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…3086backed Yes | 37c | 8,131$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked Yes | 45c | 6,448$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 34c | 5,999$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.72 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 63c | 5,599$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.53 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 54c | 5,256$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.78 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…9beabacked Yes | 46c | 5,156$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…2099backed No | 54c | 5,097$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…0503backed Yes | 46c | 4,844$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…0909backed No | 54c | 4,788$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 4,592$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…8ba6backed Yes | 55c | 4,527$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…54ebbacked No | 45c | 4,460$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…ffafbacked Yes | 58c | 4,108$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…023fbacked No | 42c | 4,042$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 67c | 3,992$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…770cbacked Yes | 45c | 3,846$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…72bebacked No | 55c | 3,797$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a929backed Yes | 54c | 3,511$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b7…1d6cbacked No | 46c | 3,500$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,423$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…cf0cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,332$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…383ebacked No | 47c | 3,237$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…e465backed No | 55c | 3,099$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…9145backed Yes | 45c | 3,084$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…4147backed No | 54c | 2,790$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…7c2dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,785$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…f3abbacked Yes | 46c | 2,776$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043b…9c47backed No | 47c | 2,768$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…ca07backed No | 54c | 2,753$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…fc35backed No | 45c | 2,742$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 46c | 2,728$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.89 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…abddbacked Yes | 55c | 2,721$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…8db9backed No | 42c | 2,716$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…48d5backed Yes | 46c | 2,714$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…33f2backed Yes | 58c | 2,695$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…1da9backed No | 55c | 2,531$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…9d14backed Yes | 45c | 2,490$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…9dfcbacked Yes | 53c | 2,401$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…724abacked No | 54c | 2,387$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…1928backed Yes | 46c | 2,385$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…23c8backed No | 47c | 2,368$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae6…94f1backed No | 54c | 2,329$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…3528backed Yes | 46c | 2,329$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…5591backed No | 45c | 2,294$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 54c | 2,259$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.94 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…2045backed Yes | 55c | 2,246$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…9662backed Yes | 45c | 2,202$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…6520backed No | 55c | 2,187$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 35c | 2,178$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.33 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…e787backed Yes | 58c | 2,150$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…b2fbbacked No | 42c | 2,118$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…2c6fbacked No | 1c | 2,096$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…b63bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,079$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…8a09backed No | 47c | 2,064$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…6927backed No | 54c | 2,062$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…2c24backed Yes | 46c | 2,053$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…6b49backed No | 54c | 2,029$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…30e7backed Yes | 46c | 2,027$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 38c | 1,986$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…da5cbacked No | 45c | 1,936$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…9609backed Yes | 58c | 1,854$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…e60dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,851$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…4b42backed No | 42c | 1,805$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…7171backed No | 55c | 1,770$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…e7b3backed Yes | 45c | 1,762$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 54c | 1,670$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…c9b9backed No | 54c | 1,602$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…1511backed Yes | 46c | 1,572$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…e920backed No | 54c | 1,504$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…f0c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,488$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…1165backed Yes | 55c | 1,480$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…8413backed No | 57c | 1,394$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…3c17backed No | 45c | 1,392$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…19a2backed No | 42c | 1,321$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4757…5eaebacked No | 47c | 1,318$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 63c | 1,274$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…b61abacked Yes | 58c | 1,197$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…6249backed Yes | 53c | 1,157$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…0ea8backed No | 61c | 1,035$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 45c | 996.29$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.96 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…e35cbacked No | 49c | 939.88$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 50c | 903.8$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 42c | 740.85$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed Yes | 48c | 625.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed No | 65c | 625.32$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…8856backed No | 59c | 599.19$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 551.48$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 21c | 545.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed No | 52c | 533.63$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 24c | 529.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.56 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 62c | 510.64$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.