Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d1ec7fdd1602c7e5e3c2eab6513dd7c38a4525987ad5fdc795e3ab3ecd15f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 17c | 62,458$10,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,475 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…42cebacked No | 79c | 39,714$31,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,453.27 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…67c6backed Yes | 0c | 12,433$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 6c | 12,363$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.01 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 4c | 6,606$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 60c | 5,635$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.8 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 4,924$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 4,900$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…d2f4backed Yes | 18c | 4,611$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 4,054$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes | 9c | 3,798$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…b08fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,757$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,112$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.31 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…f32bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,657$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…48e9backed Yes | 10c | 2,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,020$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…90e2backed No | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 25c | 1,975$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.47 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 2c | 1,938$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…78e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,889$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 1,834$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,656$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,579$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,452$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 15c | 1,404$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,339$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,311$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…1e52backed Yes | 2c | 1,245$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +481.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…ecadbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed Yes | 19c | 1,092$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,020$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…9b56backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047d…a8b7backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…55e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 1c | 993.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…563dbacked Yes | 12c | 977.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…3585backed Yes | 2c | 920.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…2e23backed Yes | 50c | 893.09$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes | 6c | 777$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 13c | 751.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…3ca3backed Yes | 3c | 746.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…5f24backed Yes | 2c | 715.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 690.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 659.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 6c | 647.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…620abacked Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…9e2cbacked Yes | 13c | 545.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…8fbbbacked Yes | 4c | 515.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Yes | 13c | 502.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 12c | 470$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…b9f3backed Yes | 12c | 432.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…6f55backed Yes | 14c | 414.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…3452backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…3219backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…ddc1backed No | 67c | 338.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6054…bcedbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 16c | 310.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…c0a5backed Yes | 3c | 310.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 299.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 4c | 298.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…5ce5backed Yes | 10c | 290.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +222.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…d88cbacked Yes | 5c | 275.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…1c97backed Yes | 19c | 271.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…b8f8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 13c | 231.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 66c | 206.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 15c | 198.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…ff78backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…6b31backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd626…0c37backed Yes | 9c | 176.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…e81cbacked Yes | 12c | 164.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 59c | 155$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…9c5bbacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8891backed Yes | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…4eebbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…c813backed Yes | 17c | 119.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…3753backed Yes | 22c | 115.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…0ce1backed Yes | 10c | 101.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…56d3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…e8dfbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +458%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…93d9backed Yes | 44c | 90.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…f985backed Yes | 17c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…6bb8backed Yes | 59c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…8e49backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +599.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…f61fbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…a8f1backed Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…89b4backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.40 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.