CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f03116212fa92e9fffe3f1462f4f27529165d43c2a62136e62d85b0340c6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, Zomblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 73c | 12,628$9,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Zomblers | 25c | 9,594$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.18 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Zomblers | 32c | 5,965$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zomblers | 0c | 2,494$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Marsborne | 74c | 1,760$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Zomblers | 14c | 1,300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…12d9backed Zomblers | 17c | 1,061$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Marsborne | 66c | 875.55$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zomblers | 7c | 575.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Marsborne | 73c | 541.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Zomblers | 23c | 471.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Zomblers | 34c | 463.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 65c | 438.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Marsborne | 78c | 325$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 69c | 320.07$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zomblers | 12c | 318.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Zomblers | 29c | 290.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Zomblers | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marsborne | 74c | 175.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…3367backed Zomblers | 29c | 175.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…e8edbacked Zomblers | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne | 77c | 157.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Marsborne | 74c | 134.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Marsborne | 71c | 124.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Zomblers | 30c | 114.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zomblers | 24c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Zomblers | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…6f15backed Zomblers | 26c | 67.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Marsborne | 80c | 61.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Marsborne | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marsborne | 53c | 40.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…9f79backed Marsborne | 78c | 37.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed Marsborne | 76c | 32.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…2c29backed Marsborne | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Marsborne | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Marsborne | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers (BO3) - CCT North America Series #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers - Map 1 WinnerZomblers won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.